Evening Briefing: Chief of Staff Declares Hamas ‘Defeated’ as Political Deadlock Persists

Tonight's briefing covers a significant assessment from the IDF Chief of Staff on Hamas's military status, continued strikes in Lebanon and Gaza, mounting pressure over the October 7 investigation, and fresh reports of a major US arms deal to Israel amid regional tensions with Iran.

Security

In a closed-door meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz at the Gaza Division, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that Hamas has been militarily defeated, tempering an earlier assessment from a senior Military Intelligence officer that the group remains a threat and is attempting to rebuild its strength. Separately, the IDF confirmed it had killed several senior terror commanders in Gaza strikes, including a Hamas battalion chief, a company commander, a weapons production operative, and an Islamic Jihad operative involved in the 7 October invasion; a child was also reportedly among those killed. In the north, the Kiryat Shmona municipality issued an alert to residents that loud explosions heard through the evening were the result of ongoing IDF strikes in Lebanon, warning that further strikes would continue overnight. On the Iran front, Tehran claimed its air defences shot down a third US drone over the Strait of Hormuz, according to regime sources, following earlier reports that the IRGC downed a US MQ-1 drone in the same area. Israel's Atomic Energy Commission also reported that Iran is holding over nine tonnes of nuclear material outside IAEA safeguards, including 440 kilograms of enriched uranium described as equivalent to more than ten nuclear devices.

Politics

With Israel heading towards elections, post-deadline polling shows neither the coalition nor opposition bloc reaching the 61-seat threshold needed to form a government, forcing parties to recalibrate strategy amid warnings of another prolonged deadlock. Families of October 7 victims released a 12-page dossier, dubbed the 'October 7 Files', accusing Netanyahu of enabling the Hamas-led massacre through a years-long policy of tolerating Hamas rule in Gaza, and demanding accountability just weeks before the election. Bereaved relatives, including the mother of a Nova festival victim, questioned why the country's greatest disaster has still not been formally investigated. Separately, Religious Zionism unveiled plans for a more radical judicial overhaul should it return to government, with Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich posting an AI-generated video depicting Supreme Court justices and the Attorney General being forcibly removed from a protest — a move former minister Gadi Eisenkot branded 'despicable' and the Bar Association called incitement. Minister Amichai Eliyahu also faced backlash after remarks made at a Tel Aviv school election panel regarding protesters from Kaplan Street, later clarifying he was not referring to all demonstrators.

International

The Washington Post reported that the Trump administration is advancing a $2.8 billion arms sale to Israel, including 40,000 2,000-pound bombs and 20,000 penetrator warheads, marking one of the largest such deals in recent years. The sale comes amid strained relations between Washington and Jerusalem and growing criticism in the US over Israeli operations in Gaza and Lebanon. Meanwhile, Secretary of State Marco Rubio spoke with Oman's Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaidi, condemning recent Iranian attacks on commercial vessels and regional states, and reaffirming Washington's commitment to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. The US, UK and Netherlands also issued a joint advisory warning of Iran-linked spyware known as 'CHOSEN BRICK', which the FBI said is used to gather intelligence and inflict reputational damage on targets. In domestic US news, the Supreme Court blocked a last-minute attempt by President Trump to alter postal voting rules ahead of congressional elections, prompting an angry reaction from the president.

Other Developments

At the UN Human Rights Council, the daughter of 84-year-old hostage Ditza Heiman, abducted from Nir Oz, testified that her mother was held for 48 days in the attic of an UNRWA teacher's home, questioning how such a person could be entrusted with educating Gaza's next generation. A UN Watch report alleged that UNRWA has implemented only 13 of the reforms it was required to carry out, despite claiming to have completed 41. Separately, the controversy surrounding filmmaker Yuval Abraham's documentary continued, with the IDF reportedly approaching the Shin Bet for assistance investigating the film, pending formal approval from the Military Advocate General and Attorney General. Former IDF brigadier general Ofer Winter publicly criticised Abraham at a political conference, telling him there was 'nothing to come back to' in Israel.

Media Consensus

Israeli outlets across the political spectrum gave prominent coverage to the Chief of Staff's assessment that Hamas has been militarily defeated, alongside continued strikes in Lebanon and Gaza. There was broad consensus on the significance of the political deadlock ahead of elections and the explosive nature of the October 7 families' accountability report, though outlets varied in emphasis regarding criticism of Netanyahu. The Smotrich judicial overhaul story and the Yuval Abraham documentary controversy were both treated as highly contentious, with Times of Israel and Walla providing the most detailed political framing.

What to Watch

  • Whether the IDF and Shin Bet formally proceed with an investigation into the Yuval Abraham documentary
  • Further developments in coalition negotiations as both political blocs remain short of a Knesset majority
  • Iranian responses and potential escalation following reported drone downings over the Strait of Hormuz

Sources: Ynet, Walla, www.israelhayom.co.il, Times of Israel, Jerusalem Post

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