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Israeli security officials assess that Hamas has concluded ceasefire negotiations are unlikely to succeed and may attempt to launch attacks preemptively rather than await Israeli military action. According to Ynet reporting, the terrorist organization could conduct operations across multiple theatres including Gaza, the West Bank, and abroad.
The assessment comes three years after the October 7th massacre and amid ongoing discussions about potential agreements. Security analysts indicate Hamas retains operational capabilities despite three years of sustained conflict following the 2023 attack that killed approximately 1,200 people.
Israeli defence establishment sources suggest Hamas views military action as preferable to continued negotiations, representing a significant shift in the organization’s strategic posture. The threat assessment has prompted heightened security preparations across Israeli territory.
Sources: Ynet, Walla, www.israelhayom.co.il, Jerusalem Post, Times of Israel